{"id":1258,"date":"2026-06-22T08:54:48","date_gmt":"2026-06-22T07:54:48","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/tuzfalcsoport.blog\/?p=1258"},"modified":"2026-06-22T09:04:23","modified_gmt":"2026-06-22T08:04:23","slug":"a-tisza-kormany-tul-koran-hirdetett-gyozelmet-az-uzemanyagarak-felett","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/tuzfalcsoport.blog\/?p=1258","title":{"rendered":"\ud83d\udcccA Tisza-korm\u00e1ny t\u00fal kor\u00e1n hirdetett gy\u0151zelmet az \u00fczemanyag\u00e1rak felett"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u26a0\ufe0f \u201e<\/span><\/span>Mivel a h\u00e9ten v\u00e1rhat\u00f3an m\u00e1r 10-15 forinttal a v\u00e9dett \u00e1rak (benzin: 595, g\u00e1zolaj: 615 forint) al\u00e1 cs\u00f6kken az \u00fczemanyagok \u00e1ra a hazai t\u00f6lt\u0151\u00e1llom\u00e1sokon, a korm\u00e1ny a mai napon arr\u00f3l d\u00f6nt\u00f6tt, hogy kezdem\u00e9nyezi a vonatkoz\u00f3 jogszab\u00e1lyok megv\u00e1ltoztat\u00e1s\u00e1t az Orsz\u00e1ggy\u0171l\u00e9sn\u00e9l, vagyis a v\u00e9dett \u00e1r kivezet\u00e9s\u00e9t\u201d \u2013 <\/span><\/span>\u00edrta j\u00fanius 17-i Facebook-bejegyz\u00e9s\u00e9ben Magyar P\u00e9ter, amire m\u00e1r akkor sokan felhorkantak, \u00e9s tegy\u00fck hozz\u00e1: nem alaptalanul.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

A Tisza-korm\u00e1ny d\u00f6nt\u00e9se a v\u00e9dett \u00fczemanyag\u00e1rak kivezet\u00e9s\u00e9r\u0151l nem egyszer\u0171en kock\u00e1zatosnak, hanem kifejezetten elsietettnek t\u0171n<\/span><\/span>t, hiszen az ir\u00e1ni h\u00e1bor\u00fa v\u00e9g\u00e9t m\u00e1r t\u00f6bb tucatszor bejelentett\u00e9k febru\u00e1r \u00f3ta, \u00e9s bizony a<\/span><\/span> val\u00f3s\u00e1g <\/span><\/span>nem is tudott megfelelni a minisztereln\u00f6k akarat\u00e1nak<\/span><\/span>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u26a0\ufe0f A Vezess.hu p\u00e9nteki \u00f6sszes\u00edt\u00e9se szerint az \u00e1rak <\/span><\/span>egy pillanatra ugyan<\/span><\/span> ben\u00e9ztek a v\u00e9dett szint al\u00e1, de nem 10\u201315 forinttal, hanem alig \u00e9rz\u00e9kelhet\u0151 m\u00e9rt\u00e9kben. A d\u00edzel mind\u00f6ssze egy forinttal, a benzin k\u00e9t-h\u00e1rom forinttal ker\u00fclt a kor\u00e1bban megh\u00fazott hat\u00e1r al\u00e1. <\/span><\/span>R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul a r\u00f6vid cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s ut\u00e1n aznap m\u00e1r ism\u00e9t megl\u00f3dult a vil\u00e1gpiac.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00dagy t\u0171nik teh\u00e1t, hogy a korm\u00e1ny \u00fagy j\u00e1rt a szak\u00e9rtelemmel, mint Kapit\u00e1ny Istv\u00e1n a luxus nyaral\u00f3j\u00e1val, amit kifelejtett a vagyonnyilatkozat\u00e1b\u00f3l, \u00e9s a n<\/span><\/span>\u00e9h\u00e1ny forintos, pillanatnyi \u00e1res\u00e9sb\u0151l <\/span><\/span>siker\u00fclt <\/span><\/span>rendszerszint\u0171 k\u00f6vetkeztet\u00e9st levonni<\/span><\/span>a, ami <\/span><\/span>olyan, mintha valaki <\/span><\/span>a felh\u0151k m\u00f6g\u00fcl el\u0151pisl\u00e1kol\u00f3 nap l\u00e1tt\u00e1n m\u00e1ris kidobn\u00e1 az eserny\u0151j\u00e9t<\/span><\/span>.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

Sz\u00f3val, Magyar P\u00e9ter\u00e9k<\/span><\/span> l\u00e1that\u00f3an k\u00e9szp\u00e9nznek vett<\/span><\/span>\u00e9k,<\/span><\/span> hogy az \u00fczemanyagpiaci fesz\u00fclts\u00e9g<\/span><\/span>ek felold\u00f3dtak<\/span><\/span>. Csakhogy a <\/span><\/span>h<\/span><\/span>\u00e9<\/span><\/span>t v\u00e9g\u00e9re a bizonytalans\u00e1g nem cs\u00f6kkent. \u00c9pp ellenkez\u0151leg<\/span><\/span>: <\/span><\/span>Izrael d\u00e9l-libanoni akci\u00f3i miatt meghi\u00fasult a p\u00e9ntekre tervezett amerikai-ir\u00e1ni cs\u00facs, szombaton pedig m\u00e1r olyan h\u00edrek jelentek meg, amelyek szerint a Forradalmi G\u00e1rda \u00fajra le akarja z\u00e1rni a Hormuzi-szorost.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00e1r <\/span><\/span>Washington szerint a <\/span><\/span>vil\u00e1g egyik legfontosabb tengeri \u00fatvonala<\/span><\/span> tov\u00e1bbra is nyitva van, de <\/span><\/span>a<\/span><\/span>z, hogy err\u0151l katonai \u00e9s politikai nyilatkozatokban kell gy\u0151zk\u00f6dni a vil\u00e1got, jelzi: nem norm\u00e1l piaci helyzetr\u0151l besz\u00e9l\u00fcnk \u2013 <\/span><\/span>s ahogy fentebb utaltunk r\u00e1, ez azonnal megjelent az \u00e1rakban.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

R\u00e1ad\u00e1sul Teher\u00e1n <\/span><\/span>azt is belebegtette, hogy a j\u00f6v\u0151ben d\u00edjat tervez felsz\u00e1molni a <\/span><\/span>navig\u00e1ci\u00f3s \u00e9s biztons\u00e1gi szolg\u00e1ltat\u00e1sok\u00e9r<\/span><\/span>t, valamint a haj\u00f3z\u00e1s okozta k\u00f6rnyezeti terhel\u00e9s\u00e9rt<\/span><\/span>. <\/span><\/span>Az igaz, hogy ez egyel\u0151re egy politikai szlogen, de <\/span><\/span>a haj\u00f3tulajdonos<\/span><\/span>o<\/span><\/span>k, a biztos\u00edt\u00f3k <\/span><\/span>\u00e9s<\/span><\/span> az olajkeresked\u0151k <\/span><\/span>v\u00e9lhet\u0151en m\u00e1r most elkezdik be\u00e1razni a kock\u00e1zatot, amit v\u00e9geredm\u00e9nyben a fogyaszt\u00f3knak kell majd lenyelni\u00fck.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

A bizonytalans\u00e1got csak fokozta, hogy <\/span><\/span>Donald Trump erre r\u00e1licit\u00e1lt, amikor <\/span><\/span>k\u00f6z\u00f6lte<\/span><\/span>, hogy ha valaki d\u00edjat szedhet a Hormuzi-szoros biztons\u00e1g\u00e1\u00e9rt, a<\/span><\/span>kkor<\/span><\/span> az Egyes\u00fclt \u00c1llamok le<\/span><\/span>sz<\/span><\/span>, hiszen Washington \u00e9vtizedek \u00f3ta katonai er\u0151vel v\u00e9di a t\u00e9rs\u00e9g<\/span><\/span>ben a <\/span><\/span>haj\u00f3z\u00e1s <\/span><\/span>biztons\u00e1g\u00e1t<\/span><\/span>. <\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u26a0\ufe0f \u00c9rdemes hozz\u00e1tenni azt is, hogy az<\/span><\/span> eur\u00f3pai \u00fczemanyagpiacon nem el\u00e9g a Brent \u00e1r\u00e1t n\u00e9zni. A kutakn\u00e1l nem nyersolajat tankolunk, hanem finom\u00edtott term\u00e9ket. A benzin \u00e9s k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen a d\u00edzel \u00e1ra f\u00fcgg a finom\u00edt\u00f3i kapacit\u00e1sokt\u00f3l, a haj\u00f3z\u00e1si \u00fatvonalakt\u00f3l, a biztos\u00edt\u00e1si d\u00edjakt\u00f3l, a doll\u00e1r\u2013eur\u00f3 \u00e1rfolyamt\u00f3l, az ad\u00f3kt\u00f3l \u00e9s a kiskereskedelmi marginokt\u00f3l is.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

A d\u00edzelpiac k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen \u00e9rz\u00e9keny, mert a K\u00f6zel-Kelet nemcsak <\/span><\/span>a <\/span><\/span>nyersolaj, hanem <\/span><\/span>az \u00fagynevezett<\/span><\/span> k\u00f6z\u00e9pp\u00e1rlatok <\/span><\/span>tekintet\u00e9ben is<\/span><\/span>fontos szerepl\u0151. Ha a t\u00e9rs\u00e9gben akadozik a sz\u00e1ll\u00edt\u00e1s, n\u0151 a biztos\u00edt\u00e1si kock\u00e1zat, vagy dr\u00e1gul a logisztika, annak hat\u00e1sa nem felt\u00e9tlen\u00fcl azonnal, de gyorsan megjelenhet Eur\u00f3p\u00e1ban.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c9s itt j\u00f6n <\/span><\/span>be a k\u00e9pbe az, amit m\u00e1r minden<\/span><\/span> magyar aut\u00f3s <\/span><\/span>megt<\/span><\/span>apasztal<\/span><\/span>hatott<\/span><\/span>: <\/span><\/span>az \u00fczemanyag\u00e1rak felfel\u00e9 \u00e1ltal\u00e1ban gyorsabban mozognak, mint lefel\u00e9.<\/span><\/span> Ha dr\u00e1gul a vil\u00e1gpiac, a kutak hamar reag\u00e1lnak. Ha <\/span><\/span>esnek az \u00e1rak,<\/span><\/span> a cs\u00f6kken\u00e9s rendszerint lassabban sziv\u00e1rog \u00e1t. Vagyis a korm\u00e1ny akkor engedte el a v\u00e9dett \u00e1rakat, amikor a lefel\u00e9 tart\u00f3 mozg\u00e1s m\u00e9g alig volt l\u00e1that\u00f3, a felfel\u00e9 mutat\u00f3 kock\u00e1zatok viszont m\u00e1r \u00fajra er\u0151s\u00f6dtek.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

\u00c9<\/span><\/span>ppen ez\u00e9rt kelle<\/span><\/span>tt volna<\/span><\/span> k\u00fcl\u00f6n\u00f6sen megfontoltan kivezetni <\/span><\/span>a v\u00e9dett \u00e1rakat \u2013 ha egy\u00e1ltal\u00e1n \u2013<\/span><\/span> nem pedig egy t\u00f6r\u00e9keny, n\u00e9h\u00e1ny forintos piaci mozg\u00e1sra r\u00e1\u00e9p\u00edteni a politikai sikert\u00f6rt\u00e9netet.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

A Tisza-korm\u00e1ny \u00fagy tett, mintha a v\u00e1ls\u00e1g v\u00e9get \u00e9rt volna. Pedig val\u00f3j\u00e1ban csak annyi t\u00f6rt\u00e9nt, hogy az \u00e1rak egy r\u00f6vid, optimista pillanatban \u00e9ppen a v\u00e9dett szint al\u00e1 cs\u00fasztak. Ez nem strat\u00e9giai fordulat volt, hanem statisztikai szerencse. <\/span><\/span>Ezt Kapit\u00e1ny Istv\u00e1nnak \u00e9s Bujdos\u00f3 Andre\u00e1nak illett volna tudnia. Hogy m\u00e9gis kivezett\u00e9k a v\u00e9dett \u00e1rakat, az vagy a dilettantizmus bizony\u00edt\u00e9ka, vagy \u00e9ppen azokat a f\u00e9lelmeket t\u00e1masztja al\u00e1, amelyek szerint a Tisza-korm\u00e1ny nem a nemzet, hanem a nemzetk\u00f6zi nagyt\u0151ke \u00e9rdekeit k\u00e9pviseli.<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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